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CrudeMonday, 18 August 2025·India

Crude Oil Slips Below Pre-Ukraine War Levels

Crude Oil Slips Below Pre-Ukraine War Levels
Global crude oil prices have dropped sharply, slipping to their lowest point since before the Russia–Ukraine conflict began in early 2022. The market downturn is being fueled by weaker global demand, higher supply flows, and persistent economic uncertainties.

On Wednesday, Brent crude closed at $65.79 per barrel, equivalent to approximately ₹5,743 per barrel, while WTI crude settled at $62.82 per barrel, or nearly ₹5,484 per barrel. Both benchmarks are now trading well below the levels seen at the onset of the Ukraine war, marking a major correction in global oil markets.

Key Drivers Behind the Decline

Weak Global Demand: Sluggish recovery in major economies and softer consumption trends in Asia have reduced demand for crude oil.
Rising Supply: Increased output from non-OPEC producers and steady flows from the Middle East and Russia have added to global inventories.
Economic Pressures: Concerns over global recession risks, coupled with currency volatility and geopolitical tensions, continue to weigh on market sentiment.

Market Implications

For India, a major crude oil importer, this drop offers some relief by potentially reducing import bills and easing inflationary pressure in fuel-linked sectors. However, volatility in global energy markets means refiners and policymakers will continue to keep a close watch on further price swings.
With prices now at their lowest levels in years, analysts suggest that unless demand rebounds strongly in the coming months, crude may continue to face downward pressure.

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